Every now and then, a client asks a fair question: “Why would you use a fund that doesn’t have a high Morningstar star rating?”
At first glance, that seems like a red flag. After all, star ratings sound like they should tell you which funds are “better,” right?
Not exactly.
We do care about many of the same things Morningstar looks at. We care about costs. We care about performance. We care about risk. But the star rating itself doesn’t carry much weight in how we evaluate investments. That is not because we are ignoring the data. It is because the star rating often gets used for something it was never really designed to do.
Here’s why.
A fund can be compared to the wrong kind of peer group
One of the biggest issues with star ratings is that they depend heavily on category comparisons. That sounds reasonable until you realize that some categories are very broad and can include funds that behave very differently from one another.
Take an ultra-short bond fund, for example. A fund may be placed in a short-term bond category, but other funds in that same category may be taking on much more credit risk, using floating-rate structures, or behaving in ways that are simply more aggressive. On paper, they may all land in the same bucket. In real life, they are not trying to accomplish the same thing.
That matters.
If we are using a fund because we want a conservative place to park part of a portfolio, we are not interested in whether it loses out in a ranking to a fund that took more risk and happened to get rewarded for it. Those are two different animals.
The question for us is not, “Did this fund beat every other fund in its category?”
The question is, “Did this fund do the job we hired it to do?”
That is a much more useful question in portfolio construction.
Index differences can distort the rating
Another issue is that a fund’s rating can be affected by how Morningstar defines a category or benchmark, even when the fund itself is doing exactly what it is supposed to do.
A good example of this comes up in international investing. Some fund families classify certain countries differently than Morningstar does. South Korea is one example. Some managers treat South Korea as a developed market, while other benchmarks treat it as an emerging market.
That may sound like a minor technical detail, but it can meaningfully affect performance comparisons. If a fund family puts South Korea in developed international and Morningstar compares it against an emerging markets benchmark that includes South Korea, the emerging markets fund can look weaker than expected, and the developed fund can look stronger. Suddenly, the star ratings shift; not necessarily because the manager made bad decisions, but because the comparison framework is different.
As long as a fund family is being thoughtful and consistent about the index philosophy it follows, that does not bother us. But it is one more reason we are careful about reading too much into a star rating by itself.
Many people use star ratings as a forecast. But that’s not what they are
This is probably the biggest misconception.
A lot of investors look at Morningstar stars as if they are predicting future performance. A five-star fund must be a better bet going forward than a two-star fund, right? But that is not really what the star rating is for.
The star rating is primarily a backward-looking, risk-adjusted measure of past performance relative to peers. It tells you how a fund has ranked compared with others in its category based on historical results. That can be interesting, but it is not the same thing as a forward-looking opinion about whether the fund is well-positioned for the future.
Morningstar actually has a separate tool for that: the Medalist Rating. That is their forward-looking analyst-driven evaluation. The problem is that many investors never see that distinction clearly. They see stars, assume it means “best,” and use it as a shortcut for future expectations.
That is where the confusion starts.
To be fair, we understand why people do it. The star system is visible, simple, and easy to latch onto. But simple does not always mean complete.
What we look at instead
When we evaluate a fund, we are asking a more practical question: “Is this fund doing what we want it to do inside the portfolio?”
That means we look at things like:
- expenses
- risk level
- structure
- underlying holdings
- how the fund behaves in different markets
- whether it fits the role it is supposed to play
In other words, we are not looking for a gold sticker. We are looking for fit, function, and discipline.
Sometimes that leads us to funds with lower star ratings than a client might expect. But if the fund is low-cost, consistent, well-constructed, and appropriate for the role it plays, that matters more to us than whether it has four or five stars next to its name.
The bigger takeaway
Morningstar star ratings are not useless. They can be one data point. But they are only one data point, and in our view, not a particularly decisive one.
A high star rating does not automatically mean a fund is right for your portfolio. A low star rating does not automatically mean a fund is flawed. Context matters. Purpose matters. Portfolio role matters.
That is why we do not build portfolios by chasing stars. We build them by asking whether each investment is doing the job it is supposed to do. That tends to be a much better guide than a rating system that can be influenced by broad categories, benchmark differences, and a misunderstanding of what the stars are even meant to say.
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